Willie Deutsch.com

Religion and Politics from a Young Christian in Northern Virginia

A Lot of Republicans May be Leaving the Party this Year

March 1st, 2013

Today Bill Bolling sent an email to supporters discussing his thoughts on running for Governor.  He asked them to fill out a survey and tell him if they would support his bid to be an “Independent Republican”  This is all as Bill Bolling prepares for his big March 14th announcement, presumably announcing an independent bid.

While I quickly received multiple emails from activists encouraging me to tell Bill Bolling not to run, some are definitely supportive of Bill Bolling.  Bolling claims people in the business community are encouraging him to run, more than likely people like Bobbie Kilberg and Gary Shapiro.  Blogger and activist Lynn Mitchell also quickly came out in support of Bolling.

 

Conservatives on the other hand are talking of supporting independents in the wake of the tax fiasco.  Many people are saying it may be time to run independents against Republican Delegates who won by 5% or less and voted for the tax hike.  The goal is to thin out the caucus and give conservatives a chance at leadership posts.

So what happens when Republicans support Independents?

In the fall of 2011, Cuccinelli, Bolling, Cantor, and Howell already showed us what happens when you support an independent against a Republican candidate, you are removed from your local Republican committee.

We have situations developing where local committees could be cleared of a number of moderates as well as conservatives.  There is the potential for independent efforts to develop of independents who can’t stand each other.  On the one hand is people who feel like Ken Cuccinelli is a loon and has driven them out of the party, on the other hand are those who feel betrayed by the recent tax hike.

Two other thing to watch is how many people are willing to support independent efforts before the state convention, and will the credentials committee remove them as delegates?

Much like 2009 began as a year of turmoil within RPV, so is 2013.  Hopefully conservativism does even better this November than it did four years ago.

Republican Party of Virginia: The Party of Higher Spending and Higher Taxes

February 21st, 2013

Over the past month, I’ve been watching the Republican Party of Virginia release tweets attacking Democrats for not supporting incredible spending packages while going after Democrat obstructionism.  One would think supporters of limited government would be the ones opposing a 3+billion dollar project that only keeps increasing in cost, and required revenue.  One would  expect the the Democrat Party to attack Republicans for opposing reckless spending.

Not only does RPV support higher spending, they support higher taxes to pay for the higher spending.

This session the Governor and the Republicans in the legislature decided passing a transportation plan had to happen.  The Governor offered a plan that slightly increased taxes, the Senate Dems pushed a plan that drastically increased taxes.  What has come out of the conference committee is a McDonnell/Bolling/McAuliffe endorsed plan that raises taxes on gas, cars, and the sales tax among other things.  Interestingly this plan may cause gas shortages over the summer.

What is particularly troubling is that the RPV has been supporting these plans.  Multiple sources relayed to me that on a recent call with the RPV Executive committee, Chairman Pat Mullins told the members that the transportation was crucial to the Governor and they needed to get their unit committees to support the package.  Multiple District Chairs who are normally not rabble rousers were very upset that Chairman Mullins was asking them to support a tax hike which they knew their members opposed.  This is a far cry from five years ago when Chairman Jeff Frederick made it clear that the RPV strongly opposed tax increases.

Thankfully many statewide candidates including E.W. Jackson, Pete Snyder, and Susan Stimpson oppose the transportation tax package.  However, this package looks like it will be passed tomorrow.  (It may also already be hurting Ken Cuccinelli electorally.)  If it does pass, the Republican Party of Virginia can no longer claim to be the party of limited spending and lower taxes. If this hurts them at the ballot boxes, they have no one to blame but themselves.

Convention for 2013

June 10th, 2012

Much is being made of the upcoming vote this weekend by State Central to move to a convention to nominate the Republican statewide candidates for 2013.  Bill Bolling is campaigning aggressively for a primary even though most primary polls have him losing overwhelmingly to Ken Cuccinelli in a primary.  Cuccinelli on the other hand is not campaigning publicly for a convention, though he campaigned aggressively for many of the state central candidates who are now pushing for a convention.

There are two main reasons I have to support a convention.  The first is cost.  As fiscal conservatives, we should not force localities to foot huge bills for our party’s nominating process.  This fact is compounded when you realize that we will probably only have a low double digit voter turnout if we have a primary.  It is also forces the campaigns to spend much less money on the nominating process and allows them to save more for the general election.  Secondly the convention enables us to both insure only Republicans vote, and it helps the campaigns identify and recruit activists.

More importantly than my thoughts, I would encourage you to read articles written by two current State Central Committee members: Eve Gleason VA-10 and David Ray VA-11.  Both these articles lay out very thorough cases from people who have been dealing with the issue for quite a while, and who will be voting on it.  You can also see how people voted on the method of nomination for the 2012 Senate race, and compare that list to the current list of state central members.

Willie Deutsch.com

Religion and Politics from a Young Christian in Northern Virginia